The new denominator ‘s the level of separated women in this category and you will year in all states
Searching significantly more directly within widows over age 60, we see you to within the 1977 their relationships price are dos per cent underneath the baseline season as well as in 1978, the year pursuing the law passed, the marriage rate try 13 percent less than the new standard 12 months. 59] , which supports the possibility that widows over age 60 put-off matrimony up to its wedding penalty was removed. Into the 1979, the season legislation became active, the wedding price was 20 percent higher than the newest standard, the biggest positive deviation in our shot several months. The new 1978 and 1979 effects is actually mathematically distinct from both during the 1 percent peak [F(step one,513)=] . The marriage rates had been above the standard during the 1980, but merely because of the dos per cent. Such regression overall performance confirm that the fresh surge inside the Committee An excellent away from Figure step one was statistically high.
This suggests you to definitely, on average, the law transform didn’t have extreme consequences to your widows under decades 60, but i read the that it after that in future regressions.
H3: Divorced female do not face such as higher benefits associated with wishing up to ages 60, hence such same trend should not exist to them.
The marriage rates habits getting divorced women don’t exhibit new trend revealed to own widows. The big committee regarding Shape 2 implies that you will find slight develops throughout the marriage prices out of divorced women in 1979. The brand new manner to have sixty- in order to 70-year-olds are not because the hitting since the styles to possess widows. Within the an effective regression research similar to one to over, shown towards the bottom panel out of Profile 2 and you may Appendix Desk 1, we discover your deviations about baseline season was significantly more getting separated ladies who has reached the very least many years 60 relative to people women who is actually less than decades 60 within the 1970, 1971, 1975, 1976, 1980, and you will 1981. In the place of brand new widows, there’s not an obvious development related the newest 1979 legislation alter.
About below 60 classification, we cannot deny the latest hypothesis your coefficient for the any 1-season dummy is actually mathematically unique of the fresh coefficient on season following in almost any year but 1988
Panel Good (descriptive statistics) signifies that the wedding speed patterns to possess divorced female do not exhibit new fashion shown to have widows. Which panel reveals moderate expands from the matrimony rates off divorced feminine old sixty–70 when you look at the 1979. Again, the relationship trend getting separated feminine old 60–70 commonly as the striking as the individuals to own widows.
Among separated female no less than ages sixty, the marriage costs inside 1977, 1978, and 1979 is actually 20, 24, and you can 10 % below the marriage rates for the standard year out of 1968. Brand new pricing are not statistically distinctive from one another on important levels.
Committee B (regression show) signifies that this new deviations on the standard 12 months (1969) is actually rather more for divorced ladies who has reached the very least ages sixty according to women significantly less than decades sixty when you look at the 1970, 1971, 1975, 1976, 1980, and you may 1981. Instead of this new development to own widows, there is no clear trend close brand new 1979 legislation change. (Full regression answers are for sale in Appendix Dining table step 1.)
Certainly divorced women less than age sixty, the wedding costs refuse notably ranging from 1979 (31 % underneath the standard) and you will 1980 (47 per cent below the baseline), hinting during the chance these particular divorced female was in fact substitutes to possess the new widows have been today free to marry without punishment.
Notes: The newest numerator ‘s the weighted quantity of ong separated feamales in the age class and you can season away from says that have been from the MRA for all age anywhere between 1968 and you will 1995 and that said early in the day relationship status on the matrimony permits. Discover Appendix Desk 1 having information about coefficients and you will basic errors.
